Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Como to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultComo to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceComo or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.78
Genoa vs Como: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Serie A brings Genoa against Como at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Genoa are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Como are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Genoa, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sassuolo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Como, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Inter, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Genoa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Como.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genoa 0.8 xG, Como 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genoa 17%, draw 24%, Como 59%.
Lower-risk option: Como or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Como to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Como or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genoa 0–1 Como. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genoa17%fair 5.87 · @3.95
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.60
Como59%fair 1.71 · @1.85
2.65Expected goals
0.83Genoa xG
1.81Como xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Genoa 0.8 – 1.8 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✓
59%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Como or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.90
Draw no bet
Como (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Como -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Como to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.78
–
Recent results
Genoa – last 6
WLLWWW
12 Apr
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Juventus
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Udinese
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Hellas Verona
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs AS Roma
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Torino
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Como – last 6
LLDWWD
21 Apr
@ Inter
2–3
L
17 Apr
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Udinese
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Pisa
5–0
W
15 Mar
vs AS Roma
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Inter
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genoa and Como.
Our pick is Como or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Genoa vs Como?
On our numbers Genoa have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Como 59%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Como?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Como?
Our predicted score is Genoa 0–1 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs Como?
Genoa vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
