AC Milan 36%Draw 27%Juventus 37%Expected goals 1.30 – 1.23
73%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33
8/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultJuventus to win37% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.76
AC Milan vs Juventus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AC Milan welcome Juventus to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 26 April (19:45 WAT). In the table, AC Milan are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Juventus are 7th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
AC Milan, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hellas Verona, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Juventus, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Genoa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AC Milan 1.3 xG, Juventus 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AC Milan 36%, draw 27%, Juventus 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: AC Milan 1–1 Juventus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AC Milan36%fair 2.80 · @2.86
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.15
Juventus37%fair 2.67 · @2.48
2.53Expected goals
1.30AC Milan xG
1.23Juventus xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: AC Milan 1.3 – 1.2 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win
37%
2.67
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
Juventus (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Juventus +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
AC Milan to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Milan / FT AC Milan
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.76
–
Recent results
AC Milan – last 6
WLLWLD
19 Apr
@ Hellas Verona
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Lazio
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Cremonese
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Parma
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Como
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Juventus – last 4
WWLL
6 Apr
vs Genoa
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Galatasaray
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Como
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Galatasaray
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Milan and Juventus.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win AC Milan vs Juventus?
On our numbers AC Milan have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juventus 37%.
How many goals will there be in AC Milan vs Juventus?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Juventus?
Our predicted score is AC Milan 1–1 Juventus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AC Milan vs Juventus?
AC Milan vs Juventus (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
