Fiorentina vs Genoa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fiorentina welcome Genoa to Stadio Artemio Franchi for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 10 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Fiorentina are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Genoa are 13th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Fiorentina, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to AS Roma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Genoa, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Como, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentina 1.6 xG, Genoa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentina 50%, draw 25%, Genoa 26%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiorentina50%fair 2.02 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.35
Genoa26%fair 3.87 · @3.65
2.69Expected goals
1.63Fiorentina xG
1.06Genoa xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 1.6 – 1.1 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentina to win✗
50%
2.02
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.83
Draw no bet
Fiorentina (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Genoa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Fiorentina to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Fiorentina – last 6
LDDWWL
4 May
@ AS Roma
0–4
L
26 Apr
vs Sassuolo
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Lecce
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Crystal Palace
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Lazio
1–0
W
9 Apr
@ Crystal Palace
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Genoa – last 6
LWLLWW
26 Apr
vs Como
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Juventus
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Udinese
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Hellas Verona
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs AS Roma
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina and Genoa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Genoa?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Genoa 26%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Genoa?
Fiorentina vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hellas Verona0
Cremonese3
Pisa0