Parma 15%Draw 22%AS Roma 64%Expected goals 0.78 – 1.89
73%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33
8/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAS Roma to win64% · @1.50
Double chanceAS Roma or draw85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.36
Parma vs AS Roma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Parma welcome AS Roma to Stadio Ennio Tardini for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 10 May (17:00 WAT). In the table, Parma are 16th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; AS Roma are 3rd (among the top four) with 27. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Parma, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Torino, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
AS Roma, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Fiorentina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 0.8 xG, AS Roma 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 15%, draw 22%, AS Roma 64%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 0–2 AS Roma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma15%fair 6.83 · @6.60
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.00
AS Roma64%fair 1.57 · @1.50
2.67Expected goals
0.78Parma xG
1.89AS Roma xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Parma 0.8 – 1.9 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win
64%
1.57
1.50
Double chance
AS Roma or draw
85%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
AS Roma (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
AS Roma -0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
AS Roma to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
AS Roma ahead at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Parma – last 5
LDDWW
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Cagliari
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Verona
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
WWLDLD
4 May
vs Fiorentina
4–0
W
10 Apr
vs Pisa
3–0
W
5 Apr
@ Inter
2–5
L
19 Mar
vs Bologna
3–3
D
15 Mar
@ Como
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Bologna
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and AS Roma.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Parma have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AS Roma 64%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs AS Roma?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Parma 0–2 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Parma vs AS Roma?
Parma vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hellas Verona0
Cremonese3
Pisa0