Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAC Milan to win ✗67% · @1.28
Double chanceAC Milan or draw ✗88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
AC Milan vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the Serie A brings AC Milan against Cagliari at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, AC Milan are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Cagliari are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
AC Milan, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Genoa, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cagliari, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Torino, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AC Milan 1.9 xG, Cagliari 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AC Milan 67%, draw 21%, Cagliari 12%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: AC Milan 2–0 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AC Milan67%fair 1.50 · @1.28
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @5.30
Cagliari12%fair 8.42 · @10.00
2.59Expected goals
1.86AC Milan xG
0.73Cagliari xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: AC Milan 1.9 – 0.7 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Milan to win✗
67%
1.50
1.28
Double chance
AC Milan or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
AC Milan (draw no bet)✗
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
AC Milan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.17
First team to score
AC Milan to score first
66%
1.50
–
Half-time result
AC Milan ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Milan / FT AC Milan✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
AC Milan – last 6
WLWLLW
17 May
@ Genoa
2–1
W
3 May
@ Sassuolo
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Hellas Verona
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Lazio
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Cremonese
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
WDWLLL
17 May
vs Torino
2–1
W
3 May
@ Bologna
0–0
D
27 Apr
vs Atalanta
3–2
W
17 Apr
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pisa
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Milan and Cagliari.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AC Milan vs Cagliari?
On our numbers AC Milan have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cagliari 12%.
How many goals will there be in AC Milan vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is AC Milan 2–0 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AC Milan vs Cagliari?
AC Milan vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cremonese1
Hellas Verona0