Parma vs Sassuolo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sassuolo travel to face Parma on Sunday 24 May in the Serie A, with Stadio Ennio Tardini the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Parma are 16th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Sassuolo are 17th (lower half) with 8. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Parma, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Como, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sassuolo, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lecce, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 1.3 xG, Sassuolo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 36%, draw 26%, Sassuolo 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 1–1 Sassuolo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma36%fair 2.75 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Sassuolo38%fair 2.66 · @2.60
2.56Expected goals
1.28Parma xG
1.28Sassuolo xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Parma 1.3 – 1.3 Sassuolo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sassuolo to win✗
38%
2.66
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Sassuolo (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Parma +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Sassuolo to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sassuolo / FT Sassuolo✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
LLDDWW
17 May
@ Como
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Cagliari
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Verona
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sassuolo – last 6
LLWDWL
17 May
vs Lecce
2–3
L
8 May
@ Torino
1–2
L
3 May
vs AC Milan
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Como
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Genoa
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Sassuolo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Parma vs Sassuolo?
On our numbers Parma have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sassuolo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Sassuolo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Sassuolo?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–1 Sassuolo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Sassuolo?
Parma vs Sassuolo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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