Arsenal 61%Draw 22%Chelsea 17%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.97
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultArsenal to win ✓61% · @1.56
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.05
Arsenal vs Chelsea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelsea travel to face Arsenal on Sunday 1 March in the Premier League, with Emirates Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Arsenal are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 10 matches; Chelsea are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Arsenal, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tottenham, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal 2.0 xG, Chelsea 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal 61%, draw 22%, Chelsea 17%.
Lower-risk option: Arsenal or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal 2–0 Chelsea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal61%fair 1.63 · @1.56
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.10
Chelsea17%fair 5.85 · @5.40
2.95Expected goals
1.98Arsenal xG
0.97Chelsea xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Arsenal 2.0 – 1.0 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal to win✓
61%
1.63
1.56
Double chance
Arsenal or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Draw no bet
Arsenal (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
First team to score
Arsenal to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Arsenal ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Arsenal – last 3
WDW
22 Feb
@ Tottenham
4–1
W
18 Feb
@ Wolves
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Wigan
4–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chelsea – last 2
DW
21 Feb
vs Burnley
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Hull City
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal and Chelsea.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arsenal vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Arsenal have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chelsea 17%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Chelsea?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Arsenal 2–0 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Arsenal vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
