Brighton vs Nottingham Forest: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Premier League brings Brighton against Nottingham Forest at Amex Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Brighton are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; Nottingham Forest are 16th (lower half) with 9. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nottingham Forest, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fenerbahçe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brighton 1.7 xG, Nottingham Forest 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brighton 53%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest 23%.
Lower-risk option: Brighton or draw (77%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Brighton or draw (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brighton 1–0 Nottingham Forest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brighton53%fair 1.89 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
Nottingham Forest23%fair 4.30 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.69Brighton xG
0.81Nottingham Forest xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Brighton 1.7 – 0.8 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✓
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Brighton or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
Brighton (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Nottingham Forest +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Brighton to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Brighton – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Brentford
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nottingham Forest – last 3
LLW
26 Feb
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Liverpool
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Fenerbahçe
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton and Nottingham Forest.
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Nottingham Forest?
Our pick is Brighton or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Brighton vs Nottingham Forest?
On our numbers Brighton have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nottingham Forest 23%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Nottingham Forest?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Nottingham Forest?
Our predicted score is Brighton 1–0 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Brighton vs Nottingham Forest?
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Amex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
