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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Manchester United v Crystal Palace: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Old Trafford
Manchester United 60%Draw 21%Crystal Palace 19% Expected goals 2.01 – 1.13
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultManchester United to win ✓60% · @1.53
Double chanceManchester United or draw ✓81% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.13

Manchester United vs Crystal Palace: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Manchester United welcome Crystal Palace to Old Trafford for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 1 March (15:00 WAT). In the table, Manchester United are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Crystal Palace are 20th (in the drop zone) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Crystal Palace, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Zrinjski, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Manchester United 2.0 xG, Crystal Palace 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester United 60%, draw 21%, Crystal Palace 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Manchester United or draw (81%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester United 2–1 Crystal Palace. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Manchester United60%fair 1.67 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.10
Crystal Palace19%fair 5.32 · @5.70
3.15Expected goals
2.01Manchester United xG
1.13Crystal Palace xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Manchester United 2.0 – 1.1 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManchester United to win ✓60%1.671.53
Double chanceManchester United or draw ✓81%1.231.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.67
Draw no betManchester United (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapCrystal Palace +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
First team to scoreManchester United to score first ✗61%1.63–
Half-time resultManchester United ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Manchester United / FT Manchester United ✗37%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.13–

Recent results

Manchester United – last 1

W
23 Feb@ Everton1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Crystal Palace – last 3

WWD
26 Febvs Zrinjski2–0W
22 Febvs Wolves1–0W
19 Feb@ Zrinjski1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Manchester United and Crystal Palace.

Manchester United vs Crystal Palace head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?

On our numbers Manchester United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Crystal Palace 19%.

How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?

Our predicted score is Manchester United 2–1 Crystal Palace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?

Manchester United vs Crystal Palace (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.