Value bet: Everton to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLiverpool to win ✓39% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.02
Everton vs Liverpool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liverpool travel to face Everton on Sunday 19 April in the Premier League, with Hill Dickinson Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Everton are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Liverpool are 4th (among the top four) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Liverpool, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Paris Saint Germain, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Everton 1.3 xG, Liverpool 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Everton 35%, draw 26%, Liverpool 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Everton to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton 1–1 Liverpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Everton35%fair 2.88 · @3.05
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Liverpool39%fair 2.55 · @2.28
2.68Expected goals
1.33Everton xG
1.35Liverpool xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Everton 1.3 – 1.4 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Everton
Liverpool
Attack vs Premier League average
-14%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.29
Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✓
39%
2.55
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Liverpool (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Everton +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Liverpool to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✓
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
Everton – last 2
WL
3 Mar
vs Burnley
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Manchester United
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Liverpool – last 6
LLLWDL
14 Apr
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Manchester City
0–4
L
18 Mar
vs Galatasaray
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Tottenham
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Galatasaray
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton and Liverpool.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Everton vs Liverpool?
On our numbers Everton have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Liverpool 39%.
How many goals will there be in Everton vs Liverpool?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Liverpool?
Our predicted score is Everton 1–1 Liverpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Everton vs Liverpool?
Everton vs Liverpool (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burnley1