Double chanceNottingham Forest or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Premier League brings Nottingham Forest against Burnley at City Ground. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Nottingham Forest, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Porto, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nottingham Forest 1.9 xG, Burnley 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nottingham Forest 62%, draw 23%, Burnley 15%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nottingham Forest 2–0 Burnley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nottingham Forest62%fair 1.60 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.30
Burnley15%fair 6.84 · @6.25
2.74Expected goals
1.90Nottingham Forest xG
0.84Burnley xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 1.9 – 0.8 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
Attack vs Premier League average
-13%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.84
0.86
Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nottingham Forest to win✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Double chance
Nottingham Forest or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Nottingham Forest (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Nottingham Forest -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.15
First team to score
Nottingham Forest to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Nottingham Forest ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nottingham Forest / FT Nottingham Forest✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Nottingham Forest – last 6
WDWDLD
16 Apr
vs FC Porto
1–0
W
9 Apr
@ FC Porto
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Tottenham
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Fulham
0–0
D
12 Mar
vs FC Midtjylland
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Manchester City
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 2
LD
3 Mar
@ Everton
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Chelsea
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nottingham Forest and Burnley.
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Burnley?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Burnley?
On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burnley 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Burnley?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 2–0 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Burnley?
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
