Value bet: Nottingham Forest to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNottingham Forest to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Premier League brings Nottingham Forest against Newcastle at City Ground. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Nottingham Forest are 16th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Newcastle are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nottingham Forest, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Aston Villa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Newcastle, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sunderland, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nottingham Forest 1.5 xG, Newcastle 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nottingham Forest 42%, draw 25%, Newcastle 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Nottingham Forest to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nottingham Forest42%fair 2.36 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.50
Newcastle33%fair 3.06 · @2.55
2.69Expected goals
1.53Nottingham Forest xG
1.17Newcastle xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 1.5 – 1.2 Newcastle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nottingham Forest to win✗
42%
2.36
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Draw no bet
Nottingham Forest (draw no bet)
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
First team to score
Nottingham Forest to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nottingham Forest / FT Nottingham Forest✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Nottingham Forest – last 6
LWWWWD
7 May
@ Aston Villa
0–4
L
4 May
@ Chelsea
3–1
W
30 Apr
vs Aston Villa
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Burnley
4–1
W
16 Apr
vs FC Porto
1–0
W
9 Apr
@ FC Porto
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Newcastle – last 6
LLDWWW
22 Mar
vs Sunderland
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–7
L
10 Mar
vs Barcelona
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Manchester United
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Qarabag
3–2
W
18 Feb
@ Qarabag
6–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle.
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newcastle 33%.
How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burnley2
West Ham0