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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

West Ham v Arsenal: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · London Stadium
0–0
–

Arsenal

WDDWL
West Ham 19%Draw 24%Arsenal 58% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.84
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultArsenal to win58% · @1.56
Double chanceArsenal or draw81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.13

West Ham vs Arsenal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arsenal travel to face West Ham on Sunday 10 May in the Premier League, with London Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT.

Current form

West Ham, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Crystal Palace, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Arsenal, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico Madrid, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give West Ham 1.1 xG, Arsenal 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – West Ham 19%, draw 24%, Arsenal 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Arsenal or draw (81%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: West Ham 1–1 Arsenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

West Ham19%fair 5.35 · @5.50
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @4.00
Arsenal58%fair 1.73 · @1.56
2.91Expected goals
1.07West Ham xG
1.84Arsenal xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
1–06%

From our goals model: West Ham 1.1 – 1.8 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal to win58%1.731.56
Double chanceArsenal or draw81%1.231.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.671.70
Draw no betArsenal (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapWest Ham +1.5 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals56%1.791.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.531.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals82%1.231.18
First team to scoreArsenal to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultArsenal ahead at half-time41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal / FT Arsenal35%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.13–

Recent results

West Ham – last 5

DWLWD
20 Apr@ Crystal Palace0–0D
10 Aprvs Wolves4–0W
22 Mar@ Aston Villa0–2L
4 Mar@ Fulham1–0W
14 Feb@ Burton Albion0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Arsenal – last 6

WDDWLW
5 Mayvs Atletico Madrid1–0W
29 Apr@ Atletico Madrid1–1D
15 Aprvs Sporting CP0–0D
7 Apr@ Sporting CP1–0W
22 Marvs Manchester City0–2L
17 Marvs Bayer Leverkusen2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between West Ham and Arsenal.

West Ham vs Arsenal head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Ham vs Arsenal?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win West Ham vs Arsenal?

On our numbers West Ham have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arsenal 58%.

How many goals will there be in West Ham vs Arsenal?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Arsenal?

Our predicted score is West Ham 1–1 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is West Ham vs Arsenal?

West Ham vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at London Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.