Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Hillerød to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAalborg to win ✗43% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Aalborg vs Hillerød: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hillerød travel to face Aalborg on Friday 27 February in the 1. Division, with Aalborg Portland Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Aalborg are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Hillerød are 8th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aalborg 1.5 xG, Hillerød 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aalborg 43%, draw 24%, Hillerød 32%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Hillerød to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aalborg 1–1 Hillerød. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aalborg43%fair 2.31 · @1.98
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.50
Hillerød32%fair 3.08 · @3.35
2.92Expected goals
1.51Aalborg xG
1.41Hillerød xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Aalborg 1.5 – 1.4 Hillerød expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aalborg to win✗
43%
2.31
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Draw no bet
Aalborg (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Hillerød +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Aalborg to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aalborg / FT Aalborg✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Aalborg – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Sandefjord
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hillerød – last 1
D
20 Feb
vs Lyngby
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalborg and Hillerød.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aalborg vs Hillerød?
On our numbers Aalborg have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hillerød 32%.
How many goals will there be in Aalborg vs Hillerød?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalborg vs Hillerød?
Our predicted score is Aalborg 1–1 Hillerød, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aalborg vs Hillerød?
Aalborg vs Hillerød (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Aalborg Portland Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
B 931
Lyngby2