Value bet: HB Koge to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHobro to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Hobro vs HB Koge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 27 February: Hobro v HB Koge in the 1. Division, played at DS Arena. In the table, Hobro are 7th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; HB Koge are 11th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hobro 1.4 xG, HB Koge 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hobro 41%, draw 26%, HB Koge 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: HB Koge to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hobro 1–1 HB Koge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hobro41%fair 2.43 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.30
HB Koge33%fair 3.02 · @3.25
2.74Expected goals
1.41Hobro xG
1.32HB Koge xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Hobro 1.4 – 1.3 HB Koge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hobro to win✗
41%
2.43
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Hobro (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
HB Koge +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Hobro to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hobro / FT Hobro✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Hobro – last 2
DL
20 Feb
vs Aarhus Fremad
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Vendsyssel FF
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
HB Koge – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Ishøj
3–0
W
14 Feb
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hobro and HB Koge.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hobro vs HB Koge?
On our numbers Hobro have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and HB Koge 33%.
How many goals will there be in Hobro vs HB Koge?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hobro vs HB Koge?
Our predicted score is Hobro 1–1 HB Koge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hobro vs HB Koge?
Hobro vs HB Koge (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at DS Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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