Value bet: Aarhus Fremad to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAalborg to win ✗41% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aalborg welcome Aarhus Fremad to Aalborg Portland Park for a 1. Division fixture on Friday 6 March (19:00 WAT). In the table, Aalborg are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Aarhus Fremad are 5th (upper half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aalborg 1.3 xG, Aarhus Fremad 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aalborg 41%, draw 27%, Aarhus Fremad 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Aarhus Fremad to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aalborg 1–1 Aarhus Fremad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aalborg41%fair 2.42 · @1.97
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.45
Aarhus Fremad32%fair 3.14 · @3.40
2.56Expected goals
1.35Aalborg xG
1.22Aarhus Fremad xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Aalborg 1.3 – 1.2 Aarhus Fremad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aalborg to win✗
41%
2.42
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.62
Draw no bet
Aalborg (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Aarhus Fremad +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Aalborg to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aalborg / FT Aalborg✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Aalborg – last 2
DL
27 Feb
vs Hillerød
3–3
D
20 Feb
@ Sandefjord
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Aarhus Fremad – last 1
D
20 Feb
@ Hobro
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalborg and Aarhus Fremad.
What is the prediction for Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?
On our numbers Aalborg have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Aarhus Fremad 32%.
How many goals will there be in Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?
Our predicted score is Aalborg 1–1 Aarhus Fremad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad?
Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Aalborg Portland Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
