Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultEsbjerg to win ✓43% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
HB Koge vs Esbjerg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Esbjerg travel to face HB Koge on Friday 6 March in the 1. Division, with Capelli Sport Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, HB Koge are 11th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Esbjerg are 10th (in the drop zone) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
HB Koge, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hobro, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HB Koge 1.4 xG, Esbjerg 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HB Koge 33%, draw 24%, Esbjerg 43%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: HB Koge 1–1 Esbjerg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HB Koge33%fair 3.02 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.60
Esbjerg43%fair 2.33 · @2.12
2.98Expected goals
1.41HB Koge xG
1.57Esbjerg xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: HB Koge 1.4 – 1.6 Esbjerg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esbjerg to win✓
43%
2.33
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.45
Draw no bet
Esbjerg (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
HB Koge +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Esbjerg to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esbjerg / FT Esbjerg✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
HB Koge – last 3
DWD
27 Feb
@ Hobro
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Ishøj
3–0
W
14 Feb
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Esbjerg – last 1
W
28 Feb
vs AC Horsens
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HB Koge and Esbjerg.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win HB Koge vs Esbjerg?
On our numbers HB Koge have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Esbjerg 43%.
How many goals will there be in HB Koge vs Esbjerg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HB Koge vs Esbjerg?
Our predicted score is HB Koge 1–1 Esbjerg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is HB Koge vs Esbjerg?
HB Koge vs Esbjerg (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Capelli Sport Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
