Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Ekstraklasa brings Korona Kielce against Arka Gdynia at Exbud Arena. Kick-off: 12:15 WAT.
Current form
Korona Kielce, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pogon Szczecin, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Arka Gdynia, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Widzew Łódź, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Korona Kielce 1.4 xG, Arka Gdynia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Korona Kielce 47%, draw 27%, Arka Gdynia 25%.
Lower-risk option: Korona Kielce or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Korona Kielce 1–1 Arka Gdynia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Korona Kielce47%fair 2.11 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.30
Arka Gdynia25%fair 3.97 · @4.10
2.41Expected goals
1.36Korona Kielce xG
1.06Arka Gdynia xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.4 – 1.1 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korona Kielce to win✓
47%
2.11
1.90
Double chance
Korona Kielce or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.90
Draw no bet
Korona Kielce (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Arka Gdynia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Korona Kielce to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korona Kielce / FT Korona Kielce✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Korona Kielce – last 3
LLW
16 Mar
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Radomiak Radom
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arka Gdynia – last 6
DWLDWL
15 Mar
vs Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Wisla Plock
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs GKS Katowice
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Pogon Szczecin
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korona Kielce and Arka Gdynia.
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Arka Gdynia 25%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 1–1 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Exbud Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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