Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Ekstraklasa brings Lech Poznan against Nieciecza at Enea Stadion. Kick-off: 14:45 WAT.
Current form
Lech Poznan, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shakhtar Donetsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Nieciecza, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Motor Lublin, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lech Poznan, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Nieciecza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznan 2.4 xG, Nieciecza 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznan 65%, draw 19%, Nieciecza 16%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznan 2–1 Nieciecza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lech Poznan65%fair 1.53 · @1.39
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @5.10
Nieciecza16%fair 6.44 · @6.40
3.61Expected goals
2.44Lech Poznan xG
1.17Nieciecza xG
63%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.4 – 1.2 Nieciecza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✓
65%
1.53
1.39
Double chance
Lech Poznan or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Lech Poznan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Lech Poznan – last 6
WWLLWW
19 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
4–3
W
26 Feb
vs KuPS
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nieciecza – last 4
LDLD
13 Mar
vs Motor Lublin
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Nieciecza.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nieciecza 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2–1 Nieciecza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza?
Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Enea Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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