Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLegia Warszawa to win44% · @2.28

Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.84

Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:15 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa, played at Stadion Wojska Polskiego. In the table, Legia Warszawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Raków Częstochowa are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Legia Warszawa, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Radomiak Radom, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Raków Częstochowa, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fiorentina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Legia Warszawa 1.6 xG, Raków Częstochowa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Legia Warszawa 44%, draw 25%, Raków Częstochowa 32%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Legia Warszawa 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Legia Warszawa44%fair 2.28 · @2.28

Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.30

Raków Częstochowa32%fair 3.17 · @3.05

2.82Expected goals

1.58Legia Warszawa xG

1.24Raków Częstochowa xG

60%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

2–19%

2–07%

0–17%

1–27%

From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 1.6 – 1.2 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Legia Warszawa to win	44%	2.28	2.28
Double chance	Either team to win	75%	1.33	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	60%	1.68	1.75
Draw no bet	Legia Warszawa (draw no bet)	58%	1.72	–
Asian handicap	Raków Częstochowa +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.35	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	50%	1.98	2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	71%	1.41	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	86%	1.17	1.09
First team to score	Legia Warszawa to score first	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	41%	2.44	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa	27%	3.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	10.84	–

Legia Warszawa – last 3

DDD

13 Mar	@ Radomiak Radom	1–1	D
1 Mar	@ Jagiellonia	2–2	D
13 Feb	@ GKS Katowice	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

100%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Raków Częstochowa – last 6

LLLWDL

19 Mar	vs Fiorentina	1–2	L
15 Mar	@ Gornik Zabrze	1–3	L
12 Mar	@ Fiorentina	1–2	L
8 Mar	vs Pogon Szczecin	2–0	W
5 Mar	@ Avia Świdnik	1–1	D
1 Mar	@ Lech Poznan	3–4	L

1.5Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	4	1	+11	31
3	Legia Warszawa	14	6	6	2	+10	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	+5	24
5	Wisla Krakow	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Zaglebie Lubin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
7	Piast Gliwice	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	GKS Katowice	14	7	0	7	+5	21
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	0	6	0	21
10	Motor Lublin	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Korona Kielce	14	5	3	6	-7	18
12	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	-7	15
13	Widzew Łódź	14	2	8	4	+1	14
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Cracovia Krakow	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Raków Częstochowa	14	4	0	10	-8	12
17	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	-8	10
18	Wieczysta Kraków	14	2	2	10	-10	8

Team

Pts

+21

+11

+10

-2

-7

-7

-12

-7

-8

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?

On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Raków Częstochowa 32%.

How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 1–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?

Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa: numbers & prediction