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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lechia Gdansk v Korona Kielce: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk
4–2
FT
Lechia Gdansk 44%Draw 24%Korona Kielce 32% Expected goals 1.61 – 1.35
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLechia Gdansk to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02

Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lechia Gdansk welcome Korona Kielce to Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Monday 6 April (19:15 WAT).

Current form

Lechia Gdansk, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Jagiellonia, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Korona Kielce, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Arka Gdynia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lechia Gdansk 1.6 xG, Korona Kielce 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lechia Gdansk 44%, draw 24%, Korona Kielce 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Korona Kielce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lechia Gdansk44%fair 2.30 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.60
Korona Kielce32%fair 3.09 · @3.15
2.96Expected goals
1.61Lechia Gdansk xG
1.35Korona Kielce xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Lechia Gdansk 1.6 – 1.3 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLechia Gdansk to win ✓44%2.302.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.60
Draw no betLechia Gdansk (draw no bet) ✓57%1.74–
Asian handicapKorona Kielce +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.221.15
First team to scoreLechia Gdansk to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lechia Gdansk / FT Lechia Gdansk ✓26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.02–

Recent results

Lechia Gdansk – last 4

WDLW
6 Marvs Jagiellonia3–0W
27 Feb@ Arka Gdynia2–2D
23 Febvs Zaglebie Lubin0–2L
15 Feb@ Motor Lublin3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Korona Kielce – last 4

WLLW
22 Marvs Arka Gdynia3–0W
16 Mar@ Pogon Szczecin1–2L
22 Febvs Lech Poznan1–2L
13 Feb@ Radomiak Radom2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lechia Gdansk and Korona Kielce.

Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce?

On our numbers Lechia Gdansk have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Korona Kielce 32%.

How many goals will there be in Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce?

Our predicted score is Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce?

Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.