Radomiak Radom 41%Draw 23%Motor Lublin 36%Expected goals 1.62 – 1.62
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Motor Lublin to win @ 3.35 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRadomiak Radom to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:45 WAT, Monday 6 April: Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa, played at Stadion im. Braci Czachorów. In the table, Radomiak Radom are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Motor Lublin are 10th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Radomiak Radom, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Piast Gliwice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Motor Lublin, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zaglebie Lubin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Motor Lublin, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Radomiak Radom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Radomiak Radom 1.6 xG, Motor Lublin 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Radomiak Radom 41%, draw 23%, Motor Lublin 36%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Motor Lublin to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Radomiak Radom 1–1 Motor Lublin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Radomiak Radom41%fair 2.42 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.65
Motor Lublin36%fair 2.79 · @3.35
3.24Expected goals
1.62Radomiak Radom xG
1.62Motor Lublin xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Radomiak Radom 1.6 – 1.6 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Radomiak Radom to win✗
41%
2.42
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Draw no bet
Radomiak Radom (draw no bet)
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Motor Lublin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
First team to score
Radomiak Radom to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Radomiak Radom / FT Radomiak Radom✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.99
–
Recent results
Radomiak Radom – last 6
LDLWDD
20 Mar
@ Piast Gliwice
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs GKS Katowice
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Arka Gdynia
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Nieciecza
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Jagiellonia
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 5
WWDWL
20 Mar
vs Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Nieciecza
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Piast Gliwice
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–3
L
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers Radomiak Radom have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Motor Lublin 36%.
How many goals will there be in Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is Radomiak Radom 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Braci Czachorów.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk4