Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Legia Warszawa travel to face Pogon Szczecin on Monday 6 April in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Pogon Szczecin are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Legia Warszawa are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogon Szczecin, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Korona Kielce, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Legia Warszawa, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Radomiak Radom, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pogon Szczecin, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Legia Warszawa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogon Szczecin 1.3 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogon Szczecin 35%, draw 25%, Legia Warszawa 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogon Szczecin35%fair 2.84 · @2.64
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.50
Legia Warszawa39%fair 2.54 · @2.46
2.67Expected goals
1.27Pogon Szczecin xG
1.40Legia Warszawa xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.3 – 1.4 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✓
39%
2.54
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Legia Warszawa (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Pogon Szczecin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
First team to score
Legia Warszawa to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✓
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Pogon Szczecin – last 3
WLW
16 Mar
vs Korona Kielce
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Arka Gdynia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 3
DDD
13 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogon Szczecin and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Legia Warszawa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk4