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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

GKS Katowice v Jagiellonia: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Arena Katowice
2–2
FT
GKS Katowice 39%Draw 24%Jagiellonia 37% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.41
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultGKS Katowice to win ✗39% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72

GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the Ekstraklasa brings GKS Katowice against Jagiellonia at Arena Katowice. Kick-off: 13:45 WAT. In the table, GKS Katowice are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Jagiellonia are 9th (upper half) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

GKS Katowice, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Piast Gliwice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Jagiellonia, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Raków Częstochowa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours GKS Katowice, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Jagiellonia.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Jagiellonia 2–1 GKS Katowice.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give GKS Katowice 1.5 xG, Jagiellonia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – GKS Katowice 39%, draw 24%, Jagiellonia 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: GKS Katowice 1–1 Jagiellonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

GKS Katowice39%fair 2.58 · @2.48
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.80
Jagiellonia37%fair 2.67 · @2.48
2.87Expected goals
1.46GKS Katowice xG
1.41Jagiellonia xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%

From our goals model: GKS Katowice 1.5 – 1.4 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGKS Katowice to win ✗39%2.582.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.50
Draw no betGKS Katowice (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapJagiellonia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.20
First team to scoreGKS Katowice to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT GKS Katowice / FT GKS Katowice ✗23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

GKS Katowice – last 6

DWWWLW
10 May@ Piast Gliwice0–0D
3 Mayvs Nieciecza4–1W
17 Aprvs Motor Lublin3–2W
4 Aprvs Wisla Plock1–0W
17 Mar@ Jagiellonia1–2L
8 Mar@ Radomiak Radom1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Jagiellonia – last 6

WLDWLD
13 May@ Raków Częstochowa2–0W
24 Aprvs Gornik Zabrze1–2L
10 Apr@ Korona Kielce1–1D
17 Marvs GKS Katowice2–1W
6 Mar@ Lechia Gdansk0–3L
1 Marvs Legia Warszawa2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Jagiellonia v GKS Katowice2–1
GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia?

On our numbers GKS Katowice have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jagiellonia 37%.

How many goals will there be in GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia?

Our predicted score is GKS Katowice 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia?

GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Arena Katowice.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.