Lechia Gdansk 31%Draw 23%Legia Warszawa 46%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.75
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Legia Warszawa to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✓46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.67
Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Legia Warszawa travel to face Lechia Gdansk on Sunday 17 May in the Ekstraklasa, with Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT.
Current form
Lechia Gdansk, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Radomiak Radom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Legia Warszawa, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Widzew Łódź, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Legia Warszawa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Lechia Gdansk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lechia Gdansk 1.3 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lechia Gdansk 31%, draw 23%, Legia Warszawa 46%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Legia Warszawa to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lechia Gdansk31%fair 3.21 · @2.68
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.55
Legia Warszawa46%fair 2.20 · @2.40
3.07Expected goals
1.32Lechia Gdansk xG
1.75Legia Warszawa xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lechia Gdansk 1.3 – 1.8 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✓
46%
2.20
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.60
Draw no bet
Legia Warszawa (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Lechia Gdansk +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
First team to score
Legia Warszawa to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✓
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Lechia Gdansk – last 6
LDLWWD
4 May
@ Radomiak Radom
1–3
L
20 Apr
vs Piast Gliwice
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ Wisla Plock
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Korona Kielce
4–2
W
6 Mar
vs Jagiellonia
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Arka Gdynia
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 6
WWWDDD
1 May
vs Widzew Łódź
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Pogon Szczecin
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lechia Gdansk and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Lechia Gdansk have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Legia Warszawa 46%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warszawa?
Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
