Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raków Częstochowa travel to face Piast Gliwice on Sunday 17 May in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach the venue – the ball rolls at 11:15 WAT. In the table, Piast Gliwice are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Raków Częstochowa are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Piast Gliwice, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with GKS Katowice, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Raków Częstochowa, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Jagiellonia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piast Gliwice 1.5 xG, Raków Częstochowa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piast Gliwice 39%, draw 24%, Raków Częstochowa 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piast Gliwice39%fair 2.54 · @2.58
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.35
Raków Częstochowa36%fair 2.76 · @2.58
2.90Expected goals
1.51Piast Gliwice xG
1.39Raków Częstochowa xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Piast Gliwice 1.5 – 1.4 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piast Gliwice to win✗
39%
2.54
2.58
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Draw no bet
Piast Gliwice (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Raków Częstochowa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
First team to score
Piast Gliwice to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piast Gliwice / FT Piast Gliwice✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Piast Gliwice – last 6
DDWDLL
10 May
vs GKS Katowice
0–0
D
1 May
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Arka Gdynia
4–1
W
20 Apr
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Pogon Szczecin
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Nieciecza
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
LWWDLL
13 May
vs Jagiellonia
0–2
L
8 May
vs Korona Kielce
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Cracovia Krakow
4–1
W
4 Apr
vs Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Fiorentina
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Gornik Zabrze
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piast Gliwice and Raków Częstochowa.
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa?
On our numbers Piast Gliwice have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Raków Częstochowa 36%.
How many goals will there be in Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our predicted score is Piast Gliwice 1–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa?
Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.