FC Volendam 33%Draw 22%Groningen 45%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.69
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: FC Volendam to win @ 3.75 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGroningen to win ✗45% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.00
FC Volendam vs Groningen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Volendam welcome Groningen to Kras Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Volendam 1.7 xG, Groningen 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Volendam 33%, draw 22%, Groningen 45%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: FC Volendam to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Volendam 1–1 Groningen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Volendam33%fair 3.05 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
Groningen45%fair 2.20 · @1.90
3.35Expected goals
1.66FC Volendam xG
1.69Groningen xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC Volendam 1.7 – 1.7 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✗
45%
2.20
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Draw no bet
Groningen (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
FC Volendam +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.17
First team to score
Groningen to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
FC Volendam – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs PSV Eindhoven
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Groningen – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Twente
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Volendam and Groningen.
What is the prediction for FC Volendam vs Groningen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Volendam vs Groningen?
On our numbers FC Volendam have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Groningen 45%.
How many goals will there be in FC Volendam vs Groningen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Volendam vs Groningen?
Our predicted score is FC Volendam 1–1 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FC Volendam vs Groningen?
FC Volendam vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Kras Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
