Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Ajax to win @ 3.15 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFeyenoord to win ✗42% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.34
Feyenoord vs Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Eredivisie brings Feyenoord against Ajax at De Kuip. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Feyenoord are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; Ajax are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Feyenoord, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Excelsior, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Feyenoord 1.8 xG, Ajax 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Feyenoord 42%, draw 22%, Ajax 36%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Ajax to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Feyenoord42%fair 2.39 · @2.04
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.85
Ajax36%fair 2.76 · @3.15
3.51Expected goals
1.76Feyenoord xG
1.75Ajax xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Feyenoord 1.8 – 1.8 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Feyenoord to win✗
42%
2.39
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.45
Draw no bet
Feyenoord (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Ajax +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
First team to score
Feyenoord to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Feyenoord / FT Feyenoord✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.34
–
Recent results
Feyenoord – last 5
WDLWW
15 Mar
vs Excelsior
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ NAC Breda
3–3
D
1 Mar
@ Twente
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Telstar
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs GO Ahead Eagles
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Ajax – last 1
D
1 Mar
@ PEC Zwolle
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Feyenoord and Ajax.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Ajax?
On our numbers Feyenoord have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ajax 36%.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Our predicted score is Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Feyenoord vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at De Kuip.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
