Value bet: Heerenveen to win @ 4.10 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNEC Nijmegen to win ✗50% · @1.71
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:15 WAT, Sunday 22 March: NEC Nijmegen v Heerenveen in the Eredivisie, played at Goffertstadion. In the table, NEC Nijmegen are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Heerenveen are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NEC Nijmegen 1.9 xG, Heerenveen 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NEC Nijmegen 50%, draw 21%, Heerenveen 29%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Heerenveen to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Heerenveen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NEC Nijmegen50%fair 2.01 · @1.71
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.10
Heerenveen29%fair 3.44 · @4.10
3.59Expected goals
1.89NEC Nijmegen xG
1.70Heerenveen xG
70%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 1.9 – 1.7 Heerenveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEC Nijmegen to win✗
50%
2.01
1.71
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Draw no bet
NEC Nijmegen (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Heerenveen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
First team to score
NEC Nijmegen to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
NEC Nijmegen – last 2
WD
3 Mar
vs PSV Eindhoven
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Heerenveen – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs PEC Zwolle
4–2
W
4.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEC Nijmegen and Heerenveen.
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Heerenveen 29%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Heerenveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Goffertstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
