Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: AZ Alkmaar to win @ 2.42 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✗46% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:45 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Groningen v AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie, played at Euroborg. In the table, Groningen are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; AZ Alkmaar are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Groningen, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with PEC Zwolle, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
AZ Alkmaar, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sparta Praha, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AZ Alkmaar, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.3 for Groningen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Groningen 1.4 xG, AZ Alkmaar 1.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Groningen 32%, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar 46%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: AZ Alkmaar to win @2.42 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Groningen 1–1 AZ Alkmaar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Groningen32%fair 3.15 · @2.58
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.70
AZ Alkmaar46%fair 2.18 · @2.42
3.26Expected goals
1.41Groningen xG
1.85AZ Alkmaar xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–27%
From our goals model: Groningen 1.4 – 1.9 AZ Alkmaar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Alkmaar to win✗
46%
2.18
2.42 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Draw no bet
AZ Alkmaar (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Groningen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
First team to score
AZ Alkmaar to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AZ Alkmaar / FT AZ Alkmaar✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Groningen – last 3
DLL
13 Mar
@ PEC Zwolle
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ FC Volendam
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Twente
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
WWWWLW
19 Mar
@ Sparta Praha
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Heracles
4–0
W
12 Mar
vs Sparta Praha
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Telstar
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Utrecht
0–2
L
26 Feb
vs FC Noah
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groningen and AZ Alkmaar.
What is the prediction for Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?
On our numbers Groningen have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AZ Alkmaar 46%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our predicted score is Groningen 1–1 AZ Alkmaar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?
Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Euroborg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
