Groningen vs Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Excelsior travel to face Groningen on Saturday 2 May in the Eredivisie, with Euroborg the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Groningen are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Excelsior are 15th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Groningen, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over AZ Alkmaar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Excelsior, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Utrecht, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Groningen 2.0 xG, Excelsior 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Groningen 57%, draw 21%, Excelsior 22%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Groningen 2–1 Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Groningen57%fair 1.76 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.20
Excelsior22%fair 4.52 · @4.35
3.40Expected goals
2.05Groningen xG
1.36Excelsior xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Groningen 2.0 – 1.4 Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win
57%
1.76
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.55
1.50
Draw no bet
Groningen (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Excelsior +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
Groningen to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Groningen ahead at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Groningen – last 4
WDLL
22 Mar
vs AZ Alkmaar
3–0
W
13 Mar
@ PEC Zwolle
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ FC Volendam
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Twente
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Excelsior – last 5
WDDLL
26 Apr
vs Utrecht
5–0
W
12 Apr
@ PEC Zwolle
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ Heracles
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Feyenoord
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groningen and Excelsior.
What is the prediction for Groningen vs Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Groningen vs Excelsior?
On our numbers Groningen have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Excelsior 22%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs Excelsior?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Groningen 2–1 Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs Excelsior?
Groningen vs Excelsior (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Euroborg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Almere City FC3
Den Bosch0
NAC Breda