Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultUtrecht to win50% · @1.78
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.77
Utrecht vs NAC Breda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Saturday 2 May: Utrecht v NAC Breda in the Eredivisie, played at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Current form
Utrecht, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Excelsior, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
NAC Breda, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fortuna Sittard, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Utrecht, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.6 for NAC Breda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Utrecht 1.7 xG, NAC Breda 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Utrecht 50%, draw 24%, NAC Breda 25%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Utrecht 1–1 NAC Breda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Utrecht50%fair 1.98 · @1.78
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.80
NAC Breda25%fair 3.98 · @4.10
3.02Expected goals
1.70Utrecht xG
1.33NAC Breda xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Utrecht 1.7 – 1.3 NAC Breda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utrecht to win
50%
1.98
1.78
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.60
Draw no bet
Utrecht (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
NAC Breda +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Utrecht to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utrecht / FT Utrecht
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Utrecht – last 6
LWWDWD
26 Apr
@ Excelsior
0–5
L
22 Mar
vs GO Ahead Eagles
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Twente
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Heracles
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs PEC Zwolle
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
NAC Breda – last 5
DDLDL
12 Apr
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Sparta Rotterdam
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ GO Ahead Eagles
0–6
L
8 Mar
vs Feyenoord
3–3
D
27 Feb
@ Telstar
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and NAC Breda.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NAC Breda 25%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 1–1 NAC Breda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
Utrecht vs NAC Breda (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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