Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultEmmen to win ✗58% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Emmen vs Jong Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 23 February the Eerste Divisie brings Emmen against Jong Ajax at De Oude Meerdijk. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Emmen are 6th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Ajax are 18th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emmen 2.1 xG, Jong Ajax 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emmen 58%, draw 21%, Jong Ajax 21%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emmen 2–1 Jong Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emmen58%fair 1.73 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.50
Jong Ajax21%fair 4.69 · @5.20
3.55Expected goals
2.14Emmen xG
1.42Jong Ajax xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
2–27%
2–07%
1–26%
From our goals model: Emmen 2.1 – 1.4 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Emmen
Jong Ajax
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-3%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
+21%
Our expected goals here
2.11
1.67
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emmen to win✗
58%
1.73
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Draw no bet
Emmen (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Jong Ajax +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
First team to score
Emmen to score first✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Emmen ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emmen / FT Emmen✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Emmen – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Jong PSV U21
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dordrecht
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 2
WL
20 Feb
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and Jong Ajax.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Emmen vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers Emmen have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jong Ajax 21%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is Emmen 2–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs Jong Ajax?
Emmen vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
