Jong AZ vs Den Bosch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 23 February the Eerste Divisie brings Jong AZ against Den Bosch at AFAS Trainingscomplex. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Jong AZ are 19th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Den Bosch are 3rd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong AZ 1.9 xG, Den Bosch 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong AZ 43%, draw 22%, Den Bosch 35%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong AZ 2–1 Den Bosch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong AZ43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.80
Den Bosch35%fair 2.85 · @2.95
3.67Expected goals
1.91Jong AZ xG
1.76Den Bosch xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 1.9 – 1.8 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+20%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+26%
-8%
Our expected goals here
2.00
1.91
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong AZ to win✗
43%
2.33
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Draw no bet
Jong AZ (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Den Bosch +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
First team to score
Jong AZ to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong AZ / FT Jong AZ✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.21
–
Recent results
Jong AZ – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ FC OSS
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Den Bosch
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong AZ and Den Bosch.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Den Bosch 35%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 2–1 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
Jong AZ vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
