De Graafschap 50%Draw 22%Vitesse 29%Expected goals 1.69 – 1.45
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Vitesse to win @ 4.00 – our chance 29% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDe Graafschap to win ✗50% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
De Graafschap vs Vitesse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
De Graafschap welcome Vitesse to De Vijverberg for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Sunday 8 March (12:15 WAT). In the table, De Graafschap are 1st, leading the league, on 0 points after 0 matches; Vitesse are 15th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
De Graafschap, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with MVV, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give De Graafschap 1.7 xG, Vitesse 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – De Graafschap 50%, draw 22%, Vitesse 29%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.38.
Price worth noting: Vitesse to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: De Graafschap 1–1 Vitesse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
De Graafschap50%fair 2.00 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.20
Vitesse29%fair 3.51 · @4.00
3.14Expected goals
1.69De Graafschap xG
1.45Vitesse xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 1.7 – 1.4 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
De Graafschap
Vitesse
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-13%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.46
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✗
50%
2.00
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Draw no bet
De Graafschap (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Vitesse +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.35
First team to score
De Graafschap to score first✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
De Graafschap – last 3
DWW
27 Feb
@ MVV
3–3
D
20 Feb
vs Jong Utrecht
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Jong PSV U21
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vitesse – last 2
WL
27 Feb
vs Jong AZ
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Willem II
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between De Graafschap and Vitesse.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Vitesse?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Vitesse?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vitesse 29%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Vitesse?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Vitesse?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 1–1 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Vitesse?
De Graafschap vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Willem II1
Cambuur1