Willem II 56%Draw 22%Den Bosch 22%Expected goals 1.92 – 1.15
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultWillem II to win ✗56% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Willem II vs Den Bosch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Den Bosch travel to face Willem II on Sunday 8 March in the Eerste Divisie, with Koning Willem II Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Willem II, last 4: WLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Emmen, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Willem II 1.9 xG, Den Bosch 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Willem II 56%, draw 22%, Den Bosch 22%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Willem II 1–1 Den Bosch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Willem II56%fair 1.78 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.20
Den Bosch22%fair 4.51 · @4.33
3.07Expected goals
1.92Willem II xG
1.15Den Bosch xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Willem II 1.9 – 1.2 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Willem II
Den Bosch
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+5%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.77
1.09
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Willem II to win✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Draw no bet
Willem II (draw no bet)
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Den Bosch +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
First team to score
Willem II to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Willem II ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Willem II / FT Willem II✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Willem II – last 4
WLWD
27 Feb
@ Emmen
3–0
W
24 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Vitesse
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Den Bosch – last 2
DD
27 Feb
vs Roda
2–2
D
23 Feb
@ Jong AZ
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and Den Bosch.
What is the prediction for Willem II vs Den Bosch?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Willem II vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers Willem II have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Den Bosch 22%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–1 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs Den Bosch?
Willem II vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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