MVV travel to face Jong AZ on Monday 16 March in the Eerste Divisie, with AFAS Trainingscomplex the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Jong AZ are 19th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; MVV are 8th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong AZ, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Waalwijk, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
MVV, last 4: WDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over VVV Venlo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong AZ 2.3 xG, MVV 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong AZ 59%, draw 20%, MVV 21%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong AZ 2–1 MVV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong AZ59%fair 1.69 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.40
MVV21%fair 4.69 · @4.60
3.74Expected goals
2.32Jong AZ xG
1.42MVV xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 2.3 – 1.4 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong AZ
MVV
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+20%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+26%
+14%
Our expected goals here
2.48
1.62
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong AZ to win✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Draw no bet
Jong AZ (draw no bet)
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
MVV +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
First team to score
Jong AZ to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Jong AZ ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong AZ / FT Jong AZ✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Jong AZ – last 5
LLLDW
13 Mar
@ Waalwijk
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Emmen
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Vitesse
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ FC OSS
3–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
MVV – last 4
WDDL
13 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Dordrecht
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs De Graafschap
3–3
D
13 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong AZ and MVV.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Jong AZ vs MVV?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and MVV 21%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs MVV?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs MVV?
Jong AZ vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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