Roda 49%Draw 24%Vitesse 27%Expected goals 1.60 – 1.24
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultRoda to win ✗49% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Roda vs Vitesse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Roda welcome Vitesse to Parkstad Limburg Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Monday 16 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Roda are 14th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Vitesse are 15th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Roda, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cambuur, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Vitesse, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Almere City FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roda 1.6 xG, Vitesse 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roda 49%, draw 24%, Vitesse 27%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roda 1–1 Vitesse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roda49%fair 2.03 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.95
Vitesse27%fair 3.70 · @3.40
2.84Expected goals
1.60Roda xG
1.24Vitesse xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–07%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Roda 1.6 – 1.2 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Roda
Vitesse
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-17%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.26
1.13
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
49%
2.03
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Draw no bet
Roda (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Vitesse +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
First team to score
Roda to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Roda – last 4
DLDW
13 Mar
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Jong PSV U21
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Waalwijk
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitesse – last 4
LWWL
13 Mar
vs Almere City FC
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ De Graafschap
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs Jong AZ
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Willem II
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roda and Vitesse.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Roda vs Vitesse?
On our numbers Roda have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vitesse 27%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Vitesse?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Vitesse?
Our predicted score is Roda 1–1 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Vitesse?
Roda vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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