Almere City FC vs Waalwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 March: Almere City FC v Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie, played at Yanmar Stadion. In the table, Almere City FC are 9th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Waalwijk are 12th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almere City FC, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vitesse, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Waalwijk, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jong AZ, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Waalwijk, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Almere City FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almere City FC 1.9 xG, Waalwijk 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almere City FC 47%, draw 22%, Waalwijk 31%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almere City FC 1–1 Waalwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almere City FC47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.90
Waalwijk31%fair 3.26 · @3.20
3.32Expected goals
1.91Almere City FC xG
1.41Waalwijk xG
68%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 1.9 – 1.4 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almere City FC
Waalwijk
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+16%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.88
1.27
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✗
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Draw no bet
Almere City FC (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Waalwijk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
First team to score
Almere City FC to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Almere City FC ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Almere City FC – last 5
WLWLL
13 Mar
@ Vitesse
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Cambuur
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ FC Eindhoven
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 5
WWWDL
13 Mar
vs Jong AZ
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs FC Eindhoven
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Roda
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almere City FC and Waalwijk.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Waalwijk 31%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Waalwijk?
Almere City FC vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag1