Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceVVV Venlo or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
VVV Venlo welcome Jong Ajax to Seacon - De Koel for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Tuesday 17 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, VVV Venlo are 2nd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Ajax are 18th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
VVV Venlo, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to MVV, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Jong Ajax, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Den Bosch, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Jong Ajax, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for VVV Venlo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VVV Venlo 2.4 xG, Jong Ajax 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VVV Venlo 62%, draw 19%, Jong Ajax 18%.
Lower-risk option: VVV Venlo or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was VVV Venlo or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: VVV Venlo 2–1 Jong Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VVV Venlo62%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.10
Jong Ajax18%fair 5.44 · @4.20
3.58Expected goals
2.36VVV Venlo xG
1.21Jong Ajax xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: VVV Venlo 2.4 – 1.2 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
VVV Venlo
Jong Ajax
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+27%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+21%
Our expected goals here
2.76
1.39
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VVV Venlo to win✗
62%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
VVV Venlo or draw✗
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.42
Draw no bet
VVV Venlo (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
VVV Venlo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
First team to score
VVV Venlo to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
VVV Venlo ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
VVV Venlo – last 4
LLLD
13 Mar
@ MVV
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Waalwijk
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 6
WLWDWL
13 Mar
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
5–1
W
23 Feb
@ Emmen
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VVV Venlo and Jong Ajax.
What is the prediction for VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax?
Our pick is VVV Venlo or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers VVV Venlo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jong Ajax 18%.
How many goals will there be in VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is VVV Venlo 2–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax?
VVV Venlo vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Seacon - De Koel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag1