MVV 39%Draw 23%Helmond Sport 38%Expected goals 1.65 – 1.62
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMVV to win39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.91
MVV vs Helmond Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Helmond Sport travel to face MVV on Friday 10 April in the Eerste Divisie, with De Geusselt the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, MVV are 8th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Helmond Sport are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MVV, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Emmen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Helmond Sport, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Waalwijk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MVV 1.7 xG, Helmond Sport 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MVV 39%, draw 23%, Helmond Sport 38%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: MVV 1–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MVV39%fair 2.54 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
Helmond Sport38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
3.27Expected goals
1.65MVV xG
1.62Helmond Sport xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: MVV 1.7 – 1.6 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
MVV
Helmond Sport
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-19%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+22%
Our expected goals here
1.80
1.77
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MVV to win
39%
2.54
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
67%
1.50
1.45
Draw no bet
MVV (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Helmond Sport +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
First team to score
MVV to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MVV / FT MVV
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.91
–
Recent results
MVV – last 6
LLLDWD
6 Apr
@ Emmen
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Waalwijk
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Willem II
0–5
L
16 Mar
@ Jong AZ
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Dordrecht
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Helmond Sport – last 6
DLDLLD
6 Apr
vs Waalwijk
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Jong AZ
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Roda
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MVV and Helmond Sport.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win MVV vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers MVV have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Helmond Sport 38%.
How many goals will there be in MVV vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MVV vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is MVV 1–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is MVV vs Helmond Sport?
MVV vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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