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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Waalwijk v Emmen: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Mandemakers Stadion
5–0
FT

Emmen

WDLDL
Waalwijk 57%Draw 22%Emmen 21% Expected goals 2.12 – 1.29
79%
Betarazi pick

Waalwijk or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultWaalwijk to win ✓57% · @1.73
Double chanceWaalwijk or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Waalwijk vs Emmen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Waalwijk welcome Emmen to Mandemakers Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 10 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Waalwijk are 12th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Emmen are 6th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Waalwijk, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Helmond Sport, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Emmen, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over MVV, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Waalwijk, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Emmen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waalwijk 2.1 xG, Emmen 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waalwijk 57%, draw 22%, Emmen 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Waalwijk or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Waalwijk or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waalwijk 2–1 Emmen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waalwijk57%fair 1.75 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.10
Emmen21%fair 4.71 · @4.10
3.41Expected goals
2.12Waalwijk xG
1.29Emmen xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Waalwijk 2.1 – 1.3 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

WaalwijkEmmen
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average+2%-3%
Goals conceded vs average-10%+15%
Our expected goals here2.131.37

Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaalwijk to win ✓57%1.751.73
Double chanceWaalwijk or draw ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.42
Draw no betWaalwijk (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapEmmen +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.811.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.361.30
First team to scoreWaalwijk to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultWaalwijk ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

Waalwijk – last 6

DWDWWW
6 Apr@ Helmond Sport2–2D
3 Apr@ MVV3–1W
17 Mar@ Almere City FC2–2D
13 Marvs Jong AZ2–1W
6 Mar@ VVV Venlo3–0W
27 Febvs FC Eindhoven2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Emmen – last 6

WDLDLW
6 Aprvs MVV2–1W
3 Apr@ Vitesse3–3D
24 Marvs Cambuur2–4L
20 Marvs VVV Venlo2–2D
13 Marvs ADO Den Haag0–1L
9 Mar@ Jong AZ3–2W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Waalwijk and Emmen.

Waalwijk vs Emmen head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waalwijk vs Emmen?

Our pick is Waalwijk or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Waalwijk vs Emmen?

On our numbers Waalwijk have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Emmen 21%.

How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Emmen?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs Emmen?

Our predicted score is Waalwijk 2–1 Emmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Waalwijk vs Emmen?

Waalwijk vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.