Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultInverness CT to win ✗56% · @1.49
Double chanceInverness CT or draw ✓80% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Inverness CT welcome Stenhousemuir to Tulloch Caledonian Stadium for a League One fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Inverness CT 1.6 xG, Stenhousemuir 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Inverness CT 56%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 20%.
Lower-risk option: Inverness CT or draw (80%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inverness CT 1–0 Stenhousemuir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Inverness CT56%fair 1.79 · @1.49
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.80
Stenhousemuir20%fair 5.06 · @5.25
2.54Expected goals
1.59Inverness CT xG
0.95Stenhousemuir xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Inverness CT 1.6 – 1.0 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Inverness CT
Stenhousemuir
Attack vs League One average
+0%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.56
1.12
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inverness CT to win✗
56%
1.79
1.49
Double chance
Inverness CT or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Inverness CT (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Stenhousemuir +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Inverness CT to score first
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inverness CT / FT Inverness CT✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Inverness CT
No recent results on record.
Stenhousemuir
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inverness CT and Stenhousemuir.
What is the prediction for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Inverness CT have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stenhousemuir 20%.
How many goals will there be in Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
Our predicted score is Inverness CT 1–0 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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