Montrose 38%Draw 21%Queen of the South 41%Expected goals 1.82 – 1.39
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Montrose to win @ 3.70 – our chance 38% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +41%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultQueen of the South to win ✗41% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.08
Montrose vs Queen of the South: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Queen of the South travel to face Montrose on Saturday 21 February in the League One, with Links Park the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Montrose are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 14 matches; Queen of the South are 8th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montrose 1.8 xG, Queen of the South 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montrose 38%, draw 21%, Queen of the South 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.68.
Price worth noting: Montrose to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montrose 1–1 Queen of the South. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montrose38%fair 2.63 · @3.70
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
Queen of the South41%fair 2.44 · @1.75
3.22Expected goals
1.82Montrose xG
1.39Queen of the South xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Montrose 1.8 – 1.4 Queen of the South expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Montrose
Queen of the South
Attack vs League One average
-1%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+56%
Our expected goals here
2.51
1.17
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Queen of the South to win✗
41%
2.44
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.68
Draw no bet
Queen of the South (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Queen of the South +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.15
First team to score
Montrose to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montrose / FT Montrose✓
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.08
–
Recent results
Montrose – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Cove Rangers
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Queen of the South
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montrose and Queen of the South.
What is the prediction for Montrose vs Queen of the South?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montrose vs Queen of the South?
On our numbers Montrose have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Queen of the South 41%.
How many goals will there be in Montrose vs Queen of the South?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montrose vs Queen of the South?
Our predicted score is Montrose 1–1 Queen of the South, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Montrose vs Queen of the South?
Montrose vs Queen of the South (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Links Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kelty Hearts1
Inverness CT1
Stenhousemuir1