Value bet: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHNK Gorica to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.70
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb travel to face HNK Gorica on Friday 17 April in the HNL, with Gradski stadion Velika Gorica the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, HNK Gorica are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 13 matches; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
HNK Gorica, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 3–6 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vukovar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours HNK Gorica, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Gorica 1.2 xG, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Gorica 38%, draw 26%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Gorica38%fair 2.60 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb35%fair 2.85 · @3.05
2.54Expected goals
1.24HNK Gorica xG
1.30NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 1.2 – 1.3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Gorica to win✗
38%
2.60
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Draw no bet
HNK Gorica (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
HNK Gorica +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Lokomotiva Zagreb / FT NK Lokomotiva Zagreb✓
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.70
–
Recent results
HNK Gorica – last 6
LDWWLW
8 Apr
vs Dinamo Zagreb
3–6
L
3 Apr
@ NK Varazdin
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs HNK Rijeka
4–0
W
4 Mar
@ NK Varazdin
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Dinamo Zagreb
2–4
L
21 Feb
@ Istra 1961
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 5
DLLWL
7 Apr
@ Vukovar
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ HNK Rijeka
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs NK Osijek
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Gorica and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is HNK Gorica 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
