Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNK Osijek to win ✗37% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.98
NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NK Varazdin travel to face NK Osijek on Friday 17 April in the HNL, with Opus Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, NK Osijek are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 13 matches; NK Varazdin are 5th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NK Osijek, last 4: DWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with NK Slaven Belupo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
NK Varazdin, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with HNK Gorica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Osijek 1.2 xG, NK Varazdin 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Osijek 37%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: NK Varazdin to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Osijek 1–1 NK Varazdin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Osijek37%fair 2.73 · @2.28
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.15
NK Varazdin36%fair 2.77 · @3.00
2.38Expected goals
1.18NK Osijek xG
1.21NK Varazdin xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: NK Osijek 1.2 – 1.2 NK Varazdin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Osijek to win✗
37%
2.73
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Draw no bet
NK Osijek (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
NK Osijek +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
NK Varazdin to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin✓
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.98
–
Recent results
NK Osijek – last 4
DWLL
22 Mar
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ Istra 1961
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
NK Varazdin – last 5
DLWLL
3 Apr
vs HNK Gorica
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Istra 1961
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Vukovar
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs HNK Gorica
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Osijek and NK Varazdin.
What is the prediction for NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
On our numbers NK Osijek have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and NK Varazdin 36%.
How many goals will there be in NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
Our predicted score is NK Osijek 1–1 NK Varazdin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin (HNL) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
