Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✗58% · @1.77
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the HNL brings NK Slaven Belupo against HNK Hajduk Split at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas. Kick-off: 16:45 WAT. In the table, NK Slaven Belupo are 7th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; HNK Hajduk Split are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to HNK Rijeka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
HNK Hajduk Split, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Istra 1961, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.6 for NK Slaven Belupo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Slaven Belupo 1.0 xG, HNK Hajduk Split 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Slaven Belupo 18%, draw 24%, HNK Hajduk Split 58%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HNK Hajduk Split or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Slaven Belupo 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Slaven Belupo18%fair 5.69 · @4.35
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
HNK Hajduk Split58%fair 1.72 · @1.77
2.95Expected goals
1.00NK Slaven Belupo xG
1.95HNK Hajduk Split xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 1.0 – 1.9 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✗
58%
1.72
1.77
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
HNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
NK Slaven Belupo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
HNK Hajduk Split to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
HNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
NK Slaven Belupo – last 5
LDWDW
8 Apr
@ HNK Rijeka
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs NK Osijek
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Istra 1961
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Vukovar
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
HNK Hajduk Split – last 5
WWLWW
7 Apr
@ Istra 1961
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs HNK Rijeka
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ NK Osijek
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Hajduk Split.
What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HNK Hajduk Split 58%.
How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split?
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split (HNL) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
