Istra 1961 17%Draw 20%Dinamo Zagreb 63%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.99
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDinamo Zagreb to win ✓63% · @1.23
Double chanceDinamo Zagreb or draw ✓83% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Istra 1961 welcome Dinamo Zagreb to Stadion Aldo Drosina for a HNL fixture on Wednesday 22 April (19:15 WAT). In the table, Istra 1961 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 13 matches; Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Istra 1961, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to HNK Hajduk Split, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Dinamo Zagreb, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Vukovar, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Dinamo Zagreb, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Istra 1961.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 1.2 xG, Dinamo Zagreb 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 17%, draw 20%, Dinamo Zagreb 63%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196117%fair 5.87 · @11.50
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @5.30
Dinamo Zagreb63%fair 1.60 · @1.23
3.17Expected goals
1.18Istra 1961 xG
1.99Dinamo Zagreb xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–37%
2–16%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 1.2 – 2.0 Dinamo Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Zagreb to win✓
63%
1.60
1.23
Double chance
Dinamo Zagreb or draw✓
83%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Dinamo Zagreb (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Istra 1961 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
Dinamo Zagreb to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Dinamo Zagreb ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Zagreb / FT Dinamo Zagreb✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Istra 1961 – last 6
LWWLLL
7 Apr
vs HNK Hajduk Split
1–3
L
20 Mar
vs NK Varazdin
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ HNK Rijeka
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs NK Osijek
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs HNK Gorica
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb – last 6
WWWWWW
13 Apr
@ Vukovar
4–1
W
8 Apr
@ HNK Gorica
6–3
W
8 Mar
@ HNK Hajduk Split
3–1
W
4 Mar
vs Kurilovec
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs HNK Gorica
4–2
W
26 Feb
@ Genk
3–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and Dinamo Zagreb.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dinamo Zagreb 63%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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