Value bet: Vukovar to win @ 2.74 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVukovar to win ✗39% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Vukovar vs HNK Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Gorica travel to face Vukovar on Wednesday 22 April in the HNL, with Stadion Gradski vrt the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Vukovar, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
HNK Gorica, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours HNK Gorica, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Vukovar.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended HNK Gorica 0–0 Vukovar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vukovar 1.6 xG, HNK Gorica 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vukovar 39%, draw 24%, HNK Gorica 37%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Vukovar to win @2.74 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vukovar 1–1 HNK Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vukovar39%fair 2.58 · @2.74
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.25
HNK Gorica37%fair 2.72 · @2.40
2.97Expected goals
1.57Vukovar xG
1.40HNK Gorica xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.6 – 1.4 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vukovar vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers Vukovar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HNK Gorica 37%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 1–1 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs HNK Gorica?
Vukovar vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
