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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

NK Varazdin v HNK Rijeka: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Gradski stadion Varazdin
1–0
FT
NK Varazdin 38%Draw 28%HNK Rijeka 34% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.15
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultNK Varazdin to win ✓38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.24

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

NK Varazdin welcome HNK Rijeka to Gradski stadion Varazdin for a HNL fixture on Wednesday 22 April (16:45 WAT). In the table, NK Varazdin are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; HNK Rijeka are 6th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

NK Varazdin, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over NK Osijek, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

HNK Rijeka, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over NK Slaven Belupo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NK Varazdin 1.3 xG, HNK Rijeka 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NK Varazdin 38%, draw 28%, HNK Rijeka 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NK Varazdin38%fair 2.63 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.10
HNK Rijeka34%fair 2.91 · @2.52
2.40Expected goals
1.25NK Varazdin xG
1.15HNK Rijeka xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: NK Varazdin 1.3 – 1.1 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNK Varazdin to win ✓38%2.632.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.83 ▲
Draw no betNK Varazdin (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapHNK Rijeka +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.461.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreNK Varazdin to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.24–

Recent results

NK Varazdin – last 6

WDLWLL
17 Apr@ NK Osijek2–0W
3 Aprvs HNK Gorica1–1D
20 Mar@ Istra 19611–2L
13 Marvs Vukovar2–0W
4 Marvs HNK Gorica1–3L
22 Febvs Dinamo Zagreb0–4L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

HNK Rijeka – last 6

WLDLLW
8 Aprvs NK Slaven Belupo2–0W
22 Mar@ HNK Gorica0–4L
19 Mar@ Strasbourg1–1D
15 Marvs Istra 19610–2L
12 Marvs Strasbourg1–2L
8 Mar@ Vukovar1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between NK Varazdin and HNK Rijeka.

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and HNK Rijeka 34%.

How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Varazdin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.